Decision Making in Fire Risk Management
(2001)- Abstract
- Various normative decision theories are discussed in the context of fire risk management. A method suitable for practical decision making in respect to fire safety investments is presented and exemplified. The method involves the use of second-order probabilities to represent uncertainty regarding probability values. A discussion on the use of Bayes theorem in combination with decision analysis is also included. The two case studies the thesis includes involve decisions regarding investments in water sprinkler systems for facilities belonging to the companies ABB and Avesta Sheffield, respectively. Calculations of the net present value of these investments are dealt with in the case studies.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/1786100
- author
- Tehler, Henrik LU
- supervisor
- organization
- publishing date
- 2001
- type
- Thesis
- publication status
- published
- subject
- pages
- 56 pages
- publisher
- Lund University
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 8237ce19-296a-45fe-a556-8f2c0ad44a1c (old id 1786100)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 16:28:01
- date last changed
- 2018-11-21 20:41:38
@misc{8237ce19-296a-45fe-a556-8f2c0ad44a1c, abstract = {{Various normative decision theories are discussed in the context of fire risk management. A method suitable for practical decision making in respect to fire safety investments is presented and exemplified. The method involves the use of second-order probabilities to represent uncertainty regarding probability values. A discussion on the use of Bayes theorem in combination with decision analysis is also included. The two case studies the thesis includes involve decisions regarding investments in water sprinkler systems for facilities belonging to the companies ABB and Avesta Sheffield, respectively. Calculations of the net present value of these investments are dealt with in the case studies.}}, author = {{Tehler, Henrik}}, language = {{eng}}, note = {{Licentiate Thesis}}, publisher = {{Lund University}}, title = {{Decision Making in Fire Risk Management}}, url = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/4681708/1786101.pdf}}, year = {{2001}}, }