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Advancing circularity metrics : revisiting the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s Material Circularity Indicator

Figueirinhas, Diogo LU ; Vakulenko, Yulia LU ; Pålsson, Henrik LU orcid and Hellström, Daniel LU orcid (2025) In Resources, Conservation and Recycling 226.
Abstract
Circularity metrics simplify complex systems, and trade-offs between simplicity, scope, and usability introduce unavoidable limitations. We revisit the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s Material Circularity Indicator (MCI) to identify opportunities for a more accurate, comprehensive, reliable measure of circularity. Although widely used and highly regarded, the MCI exhibits limitations and methodological weaknesses. Specifically, it adopts problematic modeling choices, including a single-cycle view that overlooks nonlinear, multi-cycle retention benefits, an oversimplified 50:50 waste-allocation rule, and insufficient differentiation between internal and external recycling streams. We propose a readily implementable correction to the 50:50 rule... (More)
Circularity metrics simplify complex systems, and trade-offs between simplicity, scope, and usability introduce unavoidable limitations. We revisit the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s Material Circularity Indicator (MCI) to identify opportunities for a more accurate, comprehensive, reliable measure of circularity. Although widely used and highly regarded, the MCI exhibits limitations and methodological weaknesses. Specifically, it adopts problematic modeling choices, including a single-cycle view that overlooks nonlinear, multi-cycle retention benefits, an oversimplified 50:50 waste-allocation rule, and insufficient differentiation between internal and external recycling streams. We propose a readily implementable correction to the 50:50 rule and show that its errors can exceed 2000%. In addition, we note broader limitations of the MCI, including insensitivity to energy requirements, infrastructure and equipment burdens, material quality degradation, and its limited alignment with wider economic and environmental impacts. Building on these findings, we outline desiderata to guide the development of more accurate, comprehensive, and reliable circularity indicators. (Less)
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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Resources, Conservation and Recycling
volume
226
article number
108682
pages
12 pages
publisher
Elsevier
ISSN
0921-3449
DOI
10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108682
project
Circular retailing: packaging, stores, digital product passes as enablers of the circular economy
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
36f91afc-1a8d-4547-8222-09740e7cccda
date added to LUP
2025-11-17 08:38:47
date last changed
2025-12-04 10:06:03
@article{36f91afc-1a8d-4547-8222-09740e7cccda,
  abstract     = {{Circularity metrics simplify complex systems, and trade-offs between simplicity, scope, and usability introduce unavoidable limitations. We revisit the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s Material Circularity Indicator (MCI) to identify opportunities for a more accurate, comprehensive, reliable measure of circularity. Although widely used and highly regarded, the MCI exhibits limitations and methodological weaknesses. Specifically, it adopts problematic modeling choices, including a single-cycle view that overlooks nonlinear, multi-cycle retention benefits, an oversimplified 50:50 waste-allocation rule, and insufficient differentiation between internal and external recycling streams. We propose a readily implementable correction to the 50:50 rule and show that its errors can exceed 2000%. In addition, we note broader limitations of the MCI, including insensitivity to energy requirements, infrastructure and equipment burdens, material quality degradation, and its limited alignment with wider economic and environmental impacts. Building on these findings, we outline desiderata to guide the development of more accurate, comprehensive, and reliable circularity indicators.}},
  author       = {{Figueirinhas, Diogo and Vakulenko, Yulia and Pålsson, Henrik and Hellström, Daniel}},
  issn         = {{0921-3449}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{11}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Resources, Conservation and Recycling}},
  title        = {{Advancing circularity metrics : revisiting the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s Material Circularity Indicator}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108682}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108682}},
  volume       = {{226}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}