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Mutual Expected Rationality in Online Sharing : An Agent-Based Model Study

Rich, Patricia and Genot, Emmanuel LU (2024) In Topoi 43(5). p.1405-1419
Abstract

Models of content-sharing behavior on online social media platforms typically represent content spread as a diffusion process modeled on contagious diseases; users’ behavior is modeled with single-agent decision theory. However, social media platforms are interactive spaces where users care about reactions to, and further spread of, the content they post. Thus, social media interaction falls under the intended use cases for game theory. In contrast to existing models leaving strategic reasoning out, we capture agents’ social media decisions within a cognitive hierarchy framework, which can be interpreted as making formally precise how agents make strategic choices based on mutual expectations of rationality. Analytically, we identify... (More)

Models of content-sharing behavior on online social media platforms typically represent content spread as a diffusion process modeled on contagious diseases; users’ behavior is modeled with single-agent decision theory. However, social media platforms are interactive spaces where users care about reactions to, and further spread of, the content they post. Thus, social media interaction falls under the intended use cases for game theory. In contrast to existing models leaving strategic reasoning out, we capture agents’ social media decisions within a cognitive hierarchy framework, which can be interpreted as making formally precise how agents make strategic choices based on mutual expectations of rationality. Analytically, we identify limit cases in which a platform can be swamped with content that no agents personally like but all expect to elicit reactions (think obvious fake-news). We then use agent-based simulations to show that a range of more realistic cases give rise to similar outcomes.

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author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Cognitive hierarchy, Keynes beauty contest, Rationality, Social media
in
Topoi
volume
43
issue
5
pages
1405 - 1419
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:85199387514
ISSN
0167-7411
DOI
10.1007/s11245-024-10069-0
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2024.
id
65d7a2ef-20e8-4bec-aa17-9f2977528b56
date added to LUP
2024-12-18 11:21:12
date last changed
2025-04-04 14:48:11
@article{65d7a2ef-20e8-4bec-aa17-9f2977528b56,
  abstract     = {{<p>Models of content-sharing behavior on online social media platforms typically represent content spread as a diffusion process modeled on contagious diseases; users’ behavior is modeled with single-agent decision theory. However, social media platforms are interactive spaces where users care about reactions to, and further spread of, the content they post. Thus, social media interaction falls under the intended use cases for game theory. In contrast to existing models leaving strategic reasoning out, we capture agents’ social media decisions within a cognitive hierarchy framework, which can be interpreted as making formally precise how agents make strategic choices based on mutual expectations of rationality. Analytically, we identify limit cases in which a platform can be swamped with content that no agents personally like but all expect to elicit reactions (think obvious fake-news). We then use agent-based simulations to show that a range of more realistic cases give rise to similar outcomes.</p>}},
  author       = {{Rich, Patricia and Genot, Emmanuel}},
  issn         = {{0167-7411}},
  keywords     = {{Cognitive hierarchy; Keynes beauty contest; Rationality; Social media}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{1405--1419}},
  publisher    = {{Springer}},
  series       = {{Topoi}},
  title        = {{Mutual Expected Rationality in Online Sharing : An Agent-Based Model Study}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11245-024-10069-0}},
  doi          = {{10.1007/s11245-024-10069-0}},
  volume       = {{43}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}