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Veno-arterial CO2 difference and lactate for prediction of early mortality after cardiac arrest

Lundin, Andreas ; Annborn, Martin LU ; Borgquist, Ola LU ; Düring, Joachim LU orcid ; Undén, Johan LU and Rylander, Christian (2023) In Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica 67(5). p.655-662
Abstract

Patients admitted to intensive care after cardiac arrest are at risk of circulatory shock and early mortality due to cardiovascular failure. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of the veno-arterial pCO2 difference (∆pCO2; central venous CO2 – arterial CO2) and lactate to predict early mortality in postcardiac arrest patients. This was a pre-planned prospective observational sub-study of the target temperature management 2 trial. The sub-study patients were included at five Swedish sites. Repeated measurements of ∆pCO2 and lactate were conducted at 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, 48, and 72 h after randomization. We assessed the association between each marker and 96-h mortality and... (More)

Patients admitted to intensive care after cardiac arrest are at risk of circulatory shock and early mortality due to cardiovascular failure. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of the veno-arterial pCO2 difference (∆pCO2; central venous CO2 – arterial CO2) and lactate to predict early mortality in postcardiac arrest patients. This was a pre-planned prospective observational sub-study of the target temperature management 2 trial. The sub-study patients were included at five Swedish sites. Repeated measurements of ∆pCO2 and lactate were conducted at 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, 48, and 72 h after randomization. We assessed the association between each marker and 96-h mortality and their prognostic value for 96-h mortality. One hundred sixty-three patients were included in the analysis. Mortality at 96 h was 17%. During the initial 24 h, there was no difference in ∆pCO2 levels between 96-h survivors and non-survivors. ∆pCO2 measured at 4 h was associated with an increased risk of death within 96 h (adjusted odds ratio: 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.29; p =.018). Lactate levels were associated with poor outcome over multiple measurements. The area under the receiving operating curve to predict death within 96 h was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.48–0.74) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.72–0.92) for ∆pCO2 and lactate, respectively. Our results do not support the use of ∆pCO2 to identify patients with early mortality in the postresuscitation phase. In contrast, non-survivors demonstrated higher lactate levels in the initial phase and lactate identified patients with early mortality with moderate accuracy.

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author
; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
cardiac arrest, postresuscitation care, prognosis, veno-arterial pCO gap
in
Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica
volume
67
issue
5
pages
8 pages
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • scopus:85150812702
  • pmid:36867177
ISSN
0001-5172
DOI
10.1111/aas.14224
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
a96c12a3-0cba-4fb2-9d87-1fb00c79cca5
date added to LUP
2023-05-26 14:28:53
date last changed
2024-06-29 04:38:04
@article{a96c12a3-0cba-4fb2-9d87-1fb00c79cca5,
  abstract     = {{<p>Patients admitted to intensive care after cardiac arrest are at risk of circulatory shock and early mortality due to cardiovascular failure. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of the veno-arterial pCO<sub>2</sub> difference (∆pCO<sub>2</sub>; central venous CO<sub>2</sub> – arterial CO<sub>2</sub>) and lactate to predict early mortality in postcardiac arrest patients. This was a pre-planned prospective observational sub-study of the target temperature management 2 trial. The sub-study patients were included at five Swedish sites. Repeated measurements of ∆pCO<sub>2</sub> and lactate were conducted at 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, 48, and 72 h after randomization. We assessed the association between each marker and 96-h mortality and their prognostic value for 96-h mortality. One hundred sixty-three patients were included in the analysis. Mortality at 96 h was 17%. During the initial 24 h, there was no difference in ∆pCO<sub>2</sub> levels between 96-h survivors and non-survivors. ∆pCO<sub>2</sub> measured at 4 h was associated with an increased risk of death within 96 h (adjusted odds ratio: 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.29; p =.018). Lactate levels were associated with poor outcome over multiple measurements. The area under the receiving operating curve to predict death within 96 h was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.48–0.74) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.72–0.92) for ∆pCO<sub>2</sub> and lactate, respectively. Our results do not support the use of ∆pCO<sub>2</sub> to identify patients with early mortality in the postresuscitation phase. In contrast, non-survivors demonstrated higher lactate levels in the initial phase and lactate identified patients with early mortality with moderate accuracy.</p>}},
  author       = {{Lundin, Andreas and Annborn, Martin and Borgquist, Ola and Düring, Joachim and Undén, Johan and Rylander, Christian}},
  issn         = {{0001-5172}},
  keywords     = {{cardiac arrest; postresuscitation care; prognosis; veno-arterial pCO gap}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{655--662}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica}},
  title        = {{Veno-arterial CO<sub>2</sub> difference and lactate for prediction of early mortality after cardiac arrest}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aas.14224}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/aas.14224}},
  volume       = {{67}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}