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Risk of new-onset type 1 diabetes in individuals with celiac disease and thyroid disease—An observational study

Edelman, Steve V. ; Agardh, Daniel LU ; Cui, Nancy ; Hao, Lichen ; Wieloch, Mattias LU and Meneghini, Luigi (2025) In Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism 27(8). p.4229-4238
Abstract

Aims: The objective of this study was to compare the risk of developing type 1 diabetes in individuals with celiac disease, hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism to that of individuals without those conditions. Materials and Methods: In this retrospective, observational, matched-cohort study based on real-world claims data, individuals with at least one diagnosis of celiac disease, hyperthyroidism (e.g. Graves' disease) or hypothyroidism (e.g. Hashimoto's disease) and a control cohort of individuals without any of these three conditions were included. Individuals from the disease and control cohorts were propensity score matched 1:1 based on baseline demographics and clinical characteristics. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to... (More)

Aims: The objective of this study was to compare the risk of developing type 1 diabetes in individuals with celiac disease, hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism to that of individuals without those conditions. Materials and Methods: In this retrospective, observational, matched-cohort study based on real-world claims data, individuals with at least one diagnosis of celiac disease, hyperthyroidism (e.g. Graves' disease) or hypothyroidism (e.g. Hashimoto's disease) and a control cohort of individuals without any of these three conditions were included. Individuals from the disease and control cohorts were propensity score matched 1:1 based on baseline demographics and clinical characteristics. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare the risk of type 1 diabetes between cohorts. Results: Type 1 diabetes developed in 0.14% (68/47 099) of individuals with celiac disease compared to 0.06% (27/47 099) of controls. Of those with hyperthyroidism, type 1 diabetes developed in 0.17% (281/164 830) compared to 0.06% (99/164 830) of controls. Of those with hypothyroidism, type 1 diabetes developed in 0.18% (1756/980 477) compared to 0.08% (764/980 477) of controls. The risk of developing type 1 diabetes was increased for each of the disease cohorts compared to their respective controls (celiac disease: HR = 2.54 [p < 0.0001]; hyperthyroidism: adjusted HR = 2.98 [p < 0.0001]; hypothyroidism: HR = 2.41 [p < 0.0001]); risk was highest among individuals aged <18 years. Conclusions: The risk of developing type 1 diabetes was significantly higher for individuals with celiac disease or thyroid disease compared to those without any of these conditions. These findings support the screening of individuals with these conditions for stage 2 type 1 diabetes.

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author
; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
cohort study, database research, observational study, real-world evidence, type 1 diabetes
in
Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism
volume
27
issue
8
pages
10 pages
publisher
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:105007085118
  • pmid:40437819
ISSN
1462-8902
DOI
10.1111/dom.16454
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
17d5b993-cfe3-44cc-8e7f-08ccac522aa8
date added to LUP
2025-09-24 11:52:11
date last changed
2025-09-25 03:00:09
@article{17d5b993-cfe3-44cc-8e7f-08ccac522aa8,
  abstract     = {{<p>Aims: The objective of this study was to compare the risk of developing type 1 diabetes in individuals with celiac disease, hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism to that of individuals without those conditions. Materials and Methods: In this retrospective, observational, matched-cohort study based on real-world claims data, individuals with at least one diagnosis of celiac disease, hyperthyroidism (e.g. Graves' disease) or hypothyroidism (e.g. Hashimoto's disease) and a control cohort of individuals without any of these three conditions were included. Individuals from the disease and control cohorts were propensity score matched 1:1 based on baseline demographics and clinical characteristics. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare the risk of type 1 diabetes between cohorts. Results: Type 1 diabetes developed in 0.14% (68/47 099) of individuals with celiac disease compared to 0.06% (27/47 099) of controls. Of those with hyperthyroidism, type 1 diabetes developed in 0.17% (281/164 830) compared to 0.06% (99/164 830) of controls. Of those with hypothyroidism, type 1 diabetes developed in 0.18% (1756/980 477) compared to 0.08% (764/980 477) of controls. The risk of developing type 1 diabetes was increased for each of the disease cohorts compared to their respective controls (celiac disease: HR = 2.54 [p &lt; 0.0001]; hyperthyroidism: adjusted HR = 2.98 [p &lt; 0.0001]; hypothyroidism: HR = 2.41 [p &lt; 0.0001]); risk was highest among individuals aged &lt;18 years. Conclusions: The risk of developing type 1 diabetes was significantly higher for individuals with celiac disease or thyroid disease compared to those without any of these conditions. These findings support the screening of individuals with these conditions for stage 2 type 1 diabetes.</p>}},
  author       = {{Edelman, Steve V. and Agardh, Daniel and Cui, Nancy and Hao, Lichen and Wieloch, Mattias and Meneghini, Luigi}},
  issn         = {{1462-8902}},
  keywords     = {{cohort study; database research; observational study; real-world evidence; type 1 diabetes}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{8}},
  pages        = {{4229--4238}},
  publisher    = {{John Wiley & Sons Inc.}},
  series       = {{Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism}},
  title        = {{Risk of new-onset type 1 diabetes in individuals with celiac disease and thyroid disease—An observational study}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dom.16454}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/dom.16454}},
  volume       = {{27}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}