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Impact of a Tertiary Eligibility Threshold on Tertiary Education and Earnings : A Discontinuity Approach

Nordin, Martin LU ; Heckley, Gawain LU orcid and Gerdtham, Ulf LU orcid (2017) In Working Papers
Abstract
This study evaluates the impact of achieving tertiary eligibility in upper-secondary education on tertiary education and earnings in Sweden. Using a regression discontinuity design, we estimate the impact of tertiary eligibility and show that it has a substantial impact on the probability of enrolling in tertiary education. For students who achieve tertiary eligibility, the probability of enrolling in tertiary education increases by around 15 and 7 percentage points for an academic and vocational track, respectively. This implies (before age 30) around 8 percent higher earnings (at the intensive margin) for men on an academic track, while for women on an academic track it increases the probability of having positive incomes (the extensive... (More)
This study evaluates the impact of achieving tertiary eligibility in upper-secondary education on tertiary education and earnings in Sweden. Using a regression discontinuity design, we estimate the impact of tertiary eligibility and show that it has a substantial impact on the probability of enrolling in tertiary education. For students who achieve tertiary eligibility, the probability of enrolling in tertiary education increases by around 15 and 7 percentage points for an academic and vocational track, respectively. This implies (before age 30) around 8 percent higher earnings (at the intensive margin) for men on an academic track, while for women on an academic track it increases the probability of having positive incomes (the extensive margin) by around 3 percent. Thus, we conclude that (academic) students at the margin of eligibility for enrolling in tertiary education receive a substantial tertiary education payoff. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Working paper/Preprint
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Tertiary education, upper-secondary education, earnings, eligibility, regression discontinuity design, I21, I26, I28
in
Working Papers
issue
2017:12
pages
41 pages
publisher
Department of Economics, Lund University
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
2c24af79-54e5-4016-b234-9a765e4cc391
alternative location
http://swopec.hhs.se/lunewp/abs/lunewp2017_012.htm
date added to LUP
2017-09-29 14:19:56
date last changed
2020-12-04 11:11:31
@misc{2c24af79-54e5-4016-b234-9a765e4cc391,
  abstract     = {{This study evaluates the impact of achieving tertiary eligibility in upper-secondary education on tertiary education and earnings in Sweden. Using a regression discontinuity design, we estimate the impact of tertiary eligibility and show that it has a substantial impact on the probability of enrolling in tertiary education. For students who achieve tertiary eligibility, the probability of enrolling in tertiary education increases by around 15 and 7 percentage points for an academic and vocational track, respectively. This implies (before age 30) around 8 percent higher earnings (at the intensive margin) for men on an academic track, while for women on an academic track it increases the probability of having positive incomes (the extensive margin) by around 3 percent. Thus, we conclude that (academic) students at the margin of eligibility for enrolling in tertiary education receive a substantial tertiary education payoff.}},
  author       = {{Nordin, Martin and Heckley, Gawain and Gerdtham, Ulf}},
  keywords     = {{Tertiary education; upper-secondary education; earnings; eligibility; regression discontinuity design; I21; I26; I28}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Working Paper}},
  number       = {{2017:12}},
  publisher    = {{Department of Economics, Lund University}},
  series       = {{Working Papers}},
  title        = {{Impact of a Tertiary Eligibility Threshold on Tertiary Education and Earnings : A Discontinuity Approach}},
  url          = {{http://swopec.hhs.se/lunewp/abs/lunewp2017_012.htm}},
  year         = {{2017}},
}