Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition
(2023) In Nature Energy 8(4). p.397-412- Abstract
Dense urban morphologies further amplify extreme climate events due to the urban heat island phenomenon, rendering cities more vulnerable to extreme climate events. Here we develop a modelling framework using multi-scale climate and energy system models to assess the compound impact of future climate variations and urban densification on renewable energy integration for 18 European cities. We observe a marked change in wind speed and temperature due to the aforementioned compound impact, resulting in a notable increase in both peak and annual energy demand. Therefore, an additional cost of 20‒60% will be needed during the energy transition (without technology innovation in building) to guarantee climate resilience. Failure to consider... (More)
Dense urban morphologies further amplify extreme climate events due to the urban heat island phenomenon, rendering cities more vulnerable to extreme climate events. Here we develop a modelling framework using multi-scale climate and energy system models to assess the compound impact of future climate variations and urban densification on renewable energy integration for 18 European cities. We observe a marked change in wind speed and temperature due to the aforementioned compound impact, resulting in a notable increase in both peak and annual energy demand. Therefore, an additional cost of 20‒60% will be needed during the energy transition (without technology innovation in building) to guarantee climate resilience. Failure to consider extreme climate events will lower power supply reliability by up to 30%. Energy infrastructure in dense urban areas of southern Europe is more vulnerable to the compound impact, necessitating flexibility improvements at the design phase when improving renewable penetration levels.
(Less)
- author
- Perera, A. T.D. ; Javanroodi, Kavan LU ; Mauree, Dasaraden ; Nik, Vahid M. LU ; Florio, Pietro ; Hong, Tianzhen and Chen, Deliang
- organization
- publishing date
- 2023-04
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Nature Energy
- volume
- 8
- issue
- 4
- pages
- 16 pages
- publisher
- Nature Publishing Group
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85152380146
- ISSN
- 2058-7546
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41560-023-01232-9
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- additional info
- Publisher Copyright: © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
- id
- 2f0e4411-f4f2-4f8e-9fac-2c500b2b97c6
- date added to LUP
- 2023-05-29 13:27:39
- date last changed
- 2023-10-03 13:51:47
@article{2f0e4411-f4f2-4f8e-9fac-2c500b2b97c6, abstract = {{<p>Dense urban morphologies further amplify extreme climate events due to the urban heat island phenomenon, rendering cities more vulnerable to extreme climate events. Here we develop a modelling framework using multi-scale climate and energy system models to assess the compound impact of future climate variations and urban densification on renewable energy integration for 18 European cities. We observe a marked change in wind speed and temperature due to the aforementioned compound impact, resulting in a notable increase in both peak and annual energy demand. Therefore, an additional cost of 20‒60% will be needed during the energy transition (without technology innovation in building) to guarantee climate resilience. Failure to consider extreme climate events will lower power supply reliability by up to 30%. Energy infrastructure in dense urban areas of southern Europe is more vulnerable to the compound impact, necessitating flexibility improvements at the design phase when improving renewable penetration levels.</p>}}, author = {{Perera, A. T.D. and Javanroodi, Kavan and Mauree, Dasaraden and Nik, Vahid M. and Florio, Pietro and Hong, Tianzhen and Chen, Deliang}}, issn = {{2058-7546}}, language = {{eng}}, number = {{4}}, pages = {{397--412}}, publisher = {{Nature Publishing Group}}, series = {{Nature Energy}}, title = {{Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition}}, url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01232-9}}, doi = {{10.1038/s41560-023-01232-9}}, volume = {{8}}, year = {{2023}}, }