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Consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting with capital stock change highlights dynamics of fast-developing countries

Chen, Zhan Ming ; Ohshita, Stephanie ; Lenzen, Manfred ; Wiedmann, Thomas ; Jiborn, Magnus LU ; Chen, Bin ; Lester, Leo ; Guan, Dabo ; Meng, Jing and Xu, Shiyun , et al. (2018) In Nature Communications 9(1).
Abstract

Traditional consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting attributed the gap between consumption-based and production-based emissions to international trade. Yet few attempts have analyzed the temporal deviation between current emissions and future consumption, which can be explained through changes in capital stock. Here we develop a dynamic model to incorporate capital stock change in consumption-based accounting. The new model is applied using global data for 1995–2009. Our results show that global emissions embodied in consumption determined by the new model are smaller than those obtained from the traditional model. The emissions embodied in global capital stock increased steadily during the period. However, capital plays... (More)

Traditional consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting attributed the gap between consumption-based and production-based emissions to international trade. Yet few attempts have analyzed the temporal deviation between current emissions and future consumption, which can be explained through changes in capital stock. Here we develop a dynamic model to incorporate capital stock change in consumption-based accounting. The new model is applied using global data for 1995–2009. Our results show that global emissions embodied in consumption determined by the new model are smaller than those obtained from the traditional model. The emissions embodied in global capital stock increased steadily during the period. However, capital plays very different roles in shaping consumption-based emissions for economies with different development characteristics. As a result, the dynamic model yields similar consumption-based emissions estimation for many developed countries comparing with the traditional model, but it highlights the dynamics of fast-developing countries.

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organization
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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Nature Communications
volume
9
issue
1
article number
3581
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • pmid:30181616
  • scopus:85052836737
ISSN
2041-1723
DOI
10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
443d35bc-cb82-4fcc-bcc8-2b0eeb1f57fd
date added to LUP
2018-09-24 14:49:16
date last changed
2020-03-24 06:22:38
@article{443d35bc-cb82-4fcc-bcc8-2b0eeb1f57fd,
  abstract     = {<p>Traditional consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting attributed the gap between consumption-based and production-based emissions to international trade. Yet few attempts have analyzed the temporal deviation between current emissions and future consumption, which can be explained through changes in capital stock. Here we develop a dynamic model to incorporate capital stock change in consumption-based accounting. The new model is applied using global data for 1995–2009. Our results show that global emissions embodied in consumption determined by the new model are smaller than those obtained from the traditional model. The emissions embodied in global capital stock increased steadily during the period. However, capital plays very different roles in shaping consumption-based emissions for economies with different development characteristics. As a result, the dynamic model yields similar consumption-based emissions estimation for many developed countries comparing with the traditional model, but it highlights the dynamics of fast-developing countries.</p>},
  author       = {Chen, Zhan Ming and Ohshita, Stephanie and Lenzen, Manfred and Wiedmann, Thomas and Jiborn, Magnus and Chen, Bin and Lester, Leo and Guan, Dabo and Meng, Jing and Xu, Shiyun and Chen, Guoqian and Zheng, Xinye and Xue, Jin Jun and Alsaedi, Ahmed and Hayat, Tasawar and Liu, Zhu},
  issn         = {2041-1723},
  language     = {eng},
  month        = {09},
  number       = {1},
  publisher    = {Nature Publishing Group},
  series       = {Nature Communications},
  title        = {Consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting with capital stock change highlights dynamics of fast-developing countries},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y},
  doi          = {10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y},
  volume       = {9},
  year         = {2018},
}