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The Electoral Consequences of Environmental Accidents: Evidence from Chernobyl

Mehic, Adrian LU (2023) In Journal of Public Economics 225.
Abstract
This paper examines the relationship between environmental accidents and voting. Following the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, environmentalist parties entered parliaments in several nations. This paper uses Chernobyl as a natural experiment creating variation in radioactive fallout exposure over Sweden. I match municipality-level data on cesium ground contamination with election results for the environmentalist Green Party, which was elected to parliament in 1988. After adjusting for pre-Chernobyl views on nuclear power, the results show that voters in high-fallout areas were more likely to vote for the Greens. Detailed individual-level survey data suggests that resistance to nuclear energy increased in fallout-effected areas after the accident,... (More)
This paper examines the relationship between environmental accidents and voting. Following the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, environmentalist parties entered parliaments in several nations. This paper uses Chernobyl as a natural experiment creating variation in radioactive fallout exposure over Sweden. I match municipality-level data on cesium ground contamination with election results for the environmentalist Green Party, which was elected to parliament in 1988. After adjusting for pre-Chernobyl views on nuclear power, the results show that voters in high-fallout areas were more likely to vote for the Greens. Detailed individual-level survey data suggests that resistance to nuclear energy increased in fallout-effected areas after the accident, and that this change was driven by voters who followed local media closely. (Less)
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
D72, Q48, Q53, Q58, Chernobyl, Pollution, voting
in
Journal of Public Economics
volume
225
article number
104964
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85167968953
ISSN
0047-2727
DOI
10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.104964
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
7bd3781f-4cff-4027-959d-3c4fbee6c582
date added to LUP
2023-08-17 11:35:29
date last changed
2023-10-13 04:00:14
@article{7bd3781f-4cff-4027-959d-3c4fbee6c582,
  abstract     = {{This paper examines the relationship between environmental accidents and voting. Following the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, environmentalist parties entered parliaments in several nations. This paper uses Chernobyl as a natural experiment creating variation in radioactive fallout exposure over Sweden. I match municipality-level data on cesium ground contamination with election results for the environmentalist Green Party, which was elected to parliament in 1988. After adjusting for pre-Chernobyl views on nuclear power, the results show that voters in high-fallout areas were more likely to vote for the Greens. Detailed individual-level survey data suggests that resistance to nuclear energy increased in fallout-effected areas after the accident, and that this change was driven by voters who followed local media closely.}},
  author       = {{Mehic, Adrian}},
  issn         = {{0047-2727}},
  keywords     = {{D72; Q48; Q53; Q58; Chernobyl; Pollution; voting}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Journal of Public Economics}},
  title        = {{The Electoral Consequences of Environmental Accidents: Evidence from Chernobyl}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.104964}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.104964}},
  volume       = {{225}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}