Realism in actor’s and observers confidence judgments: The effect of considering the actor’s arguments and/or confidence
(2003) SPUDM19, Biannual Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making- Abstract
- The present study investigated the difference between Actors’ and Observers’ realism in confidence and frequency judgments of general knowledge assertions, and how types of information given to the Observers about the Actors’ choice of answers affect that difference in the realism in confidence judgments. In general, compared with the Actors, the Observers showed higher accuracy and higher confidence. When no additional information was given, the Observers showed lower overconfidence than the Actors did. However, this difference did not remain when the Observers were provided with the Actors’ conceived best argument for, and/or rated confidence in, the Actors’ choice. In addition, Observers provided only with the Actors’ arguments showed... (More)
- The present study investigated the difference between Actors’ and Observers’ realism in confidence and frequency judgments of general knowledge assertions, and how types of information given to the Observers about the Actors’ choice of answers affect that difference in the realism in confidence judgments. In general, compared with the Actors, the Observers showed higher accuracy and higher confidence. When no additional information was given, the Observers showed lower overconfidence than the Actors did. However, this difference did not remain when the Observers were provided with the Actors’ conceived best argument for, and/or rated confidence in, the Actors’ choice. In addition, Observers provided only with the Actors’ arguments showed poorer calibration and higher confidence than those provided with arguments and confidence judgments and those provided with confidence judgments only. These results are discussed in relation to previous calibration research, the unpacking hypothesis of Support theory and a version of the information richness hypothesis. The results also showed that the frequency judgment of one’s own overall accuracy was lower and less realistic than that of the other’s accuracy. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/807081
- author
- Allwood, Carl Martin LU and Johansson, Marcus LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2003
- type
- Contribution to conference
- publication status
- published
- subject
- conference name
- SPUDM19, Biannual Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making
- conference dates
- 2003-08-27 - 2003-08-29
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 4477b97f-5afa-44f5-846f-8ca93b9e362b (old id 807081)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-04 14:12:10
- date last changed
- 2018-11-21 21:18:54
@misc{4477b97f-5afa-44f5-846f-8ca93b9e362b, abstract = {{The present study investigated the difference between Actors’ and Observers’ realism in confidence and frequency judgments of general knowledge assertions, and how types of information given to the Observers about the Actors’ choice of answers affect that difference in the realism in confidence judgments. In general, compared with the Actors, the Observers showed higher accuracy and higher confidence. When no additional information was given, the Observers showed lower overconfidence than the Actors did. However, this difference did not remain when the Observers were provided with the Actors’ conceived best argument for, and/or rated confidence in, the Actors’ choice. In addition, Observers provided only with the Actors’ arguments showed poorer calibration and higher confidence than those provided with arguments and confidence judgments and those provided with confidence judgments only. These results are discussed in relation to previous calibration research, the unpacking hypothesis of Support theory and a version of the information richness hypothesis. The results also showed that the frequency judgment of one’s own overall accuracy was lower and less realistic than that of the other’s accuracy.}}, author = {{Allwood, Carl Martin and Johansson, Marcus}}, language = {{eng}}, title = {{Realism in actor’s and observers confidence judgments: The effect of considering the actor’s arguments and/or confidence}}, year = {{2003}}, }