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Climate change and energy performance of European residential building stocks : A comprehensive impact assessment using climate big data from the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment

Yang, Yuchen LU ; Javanroodi, Kavan LU and Nik, Vahid LU orcid (2021) In Applied Energy 298.
Abstract
In recent years, climate change and the corresponding expected extreme weather conditions have been widely recognized as potential problems. The building industry is taking various actions to achieve sustainable development, implement energy conservation strategies, and provide climate change mitigation. In addition to mitigation, it is crucial to adapt to climate change, and to investigate the possible risks and limitations of mitigation strategies. Although the importance of climate change adaptation is well-understood, there are still challenges in understanding and modeling the impacts of climate change, and the consequent risks and extremes. This work provides a comprehensive study of the impacts of climate change on the energy... (More)
In recent years, climate change and the corresponding expected extreme weather conditions have been widely recognized as potential problems. The building industry is taking various actions to achieve sustainable development, implement energy conservation strategies, and provide climate change mitigation. In addition to mitigation, it is crucial to adapt to climate change, and to investigate the possible risks and limitations of mitigation strategies. Although the importance of climate change adaptation is well-understood, there are still challenges in understanding and modeling the impacts of climate change, and the consequent risks and extremes. This work provides a comprehensive study of the impacts of climate change on the energy performances and thermal comfort of European residential building stocks. To perform an unbiased assessment and account for climate uncertainties and extreme events, a large set of future climate data was used for a 90-year period (2010–2099). Climate data for 38 European cities in five different climate zones, downscaled by the “RCA4” regional climate model, were synthesized and applied to simulate the respective energy performances of the residential building stocks in the cities. The results suggest that there will be larger needs for cooling buildings in the future and less heating demand; however, there are differences in the variation rates between zones and cities. Discomfort hours will increase notably in cities within cooling-dominated zones, but will not be affected considerably in cities within heating-dominated zones. In addition to long-term changes, climate-induced extremes can considerably affect future energy demands, especially the cooling demand; this may become challenging for both buildings and energy systems. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Applied Energy
volume
298
article number
117246
pages
23 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85108075219
ISSN
0306-2619
DOI
10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117246
project
Flexible energy system integration using concept development, demonstration and replication
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
8a6aac4f-465d-431b-8e0d-4017bd93f4da
date added to LUP
2021-06-17 14:04:29
date last changed
2023-02-02 03:07:41
@article{8a6aac4f-465d-431b-8e0d-4017bd93f4da,
  abstract     = {{In recent years, climate change and the corresponding expected extreme weather conditions have been widely recognized as potential problems. The building industry is taking various actions to achieve sustainable development, implement energy conservation strategies, and provide climate change mitigation. In addition to mitigation, it is crucial to adapt to climate change, and to investigate the possible risks and limitations of mitigation strategies. Although the importance of climate change adaptation is well-understood, there are still challenges in understanding and modeling the impacts of climate change, and the consequent risks and extremes. This work provides a comprehensive study of the impacts of climate change on the energy performances and thermal comfort of European residential building stocks. To perform an unbiased assessment and account for climate uncertainties and extreme events, a large set of future climate data was used for a 90-year period (2010–2099). Climate data for 38 European cities in five different climate zones, downscaled by the “RCA4” regional climate model, were synthesized and applied to simulate the respective energy performances of the residential building stocks in the cities. The results suggest that there will be larger needs for cooling buildings in the future and less heating demand; however, there are differences in the variation rates between zones and cities. Discomfort hours will increase notably in cities within cooling-dominated zones, but will not be affected considerably in cities within heating-dominated zones. In addition to long-term changes, climate-induced extremes can considerably affect future energy demands, especially the cooling demand; this may become challenging for both buildings and energy systems.}},
  author       = {{Yang, Yuchen and Javanroodi, Kavan and Nik, Vahid}},
  issn         = {{0306-2619}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{09}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Applied Energy}},
  title        = {{Climate change and energy performance of European residential building stocks : A comprehensive impact assessment using climate big data from the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117246}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117246}},
  volume       = {{298}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}