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Seeking No War, Achieving No Peace: The Conflict over the Siachen Glacier

Andersson, Tommy LU and Mukherjee , Conan (2018) In Working Papers
Abstract
This paper models “no war, no peace” situations in a game theoretical framework where two countries are engaged in a standoff over a military sector. The first main objective is to identify rational grounds for such situations and, more precisely, explicit equilibria that leads to such situations. It is demonstrated that both countries get the same payoff from being in this continuous state of perpetual hostility and, moreover, that “no war, no peace” situations can be explained only if the countries perceive an equal measure of military advantage by controlling the area. Given this insight, the second objective of the paper is to provide insights about how “no war, no peace” situations can be resolved. Two different pathways are... (More)
This paper models “no war, no peace” situations in a game theoretical framework where two countries are engaged in a standoff over a military sector. The first main objective is to identify rational grounds for such situations and, more precisely, explicit equilibria that leads to such situations. It is demonstrated that both countries get the same payoff from being in this continuous state of perpetual hostility and, moreover, that “no war, no peace” situations can be explained only if the countries perceive an equal measure of military advantage by controlling the area. Given this insight, the second objective of the paper is to provide insights about how “no war, no peace” situations can be resolved. Two different pathways are suggested. The first is idealistic and based on mutual trust whereas the second is based on deterrence meaning that both countries impose a threat of using armed force against the other country in their respective military doctrines. (Less)
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Working Paper
publication status
published
subject
keywords
game theory, infinite horizon game, stationary strategies, Siachen conflict, C73, H56
in
Working Papers
issue
2018:14
pages
22 pages
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
fd771189-afc5-4f75-84ed-8a57ce4cc01f
alternative location
https://swopec.hhs.se/lunewp/abs/lunewp2018_014.htm
date added to LUP
2018-06-05 10:35:24
date last changed
2018-11-21 21:40:11
@misc{fd771189-afc5-4f75-84ed-8a57ce4cc01f,
  abstract     = {This paper models “no war, no peace” situations in a game theoretical framework where two countries are engaged in a standoff over a military sector. The first main objective is to identify rational grounds for such situations and, more precisely, explicit equilibria that leads to such situations. It is demonstrated that both countries get the same payoff from being in this continuous state of perpetual hostility and, moreover, that “no war, no peace” situations can be explained only if the countries perceive an equal measure of military advantage by controlling the area. Given this insight, the second objective of the paper is to provide insights about how “no war, no peace” situations can be resolved. Two different pathways are suggested. The first is idealistic and based on mutual trust whereas the second is based on deterrence meaning that both countries impose a threat of using armed force against the other country in their respective military doctrines. },
  author       = {Andersson, Tommy and Mukherjee , Conan},
  keyword      = {game theory,infinite horizon game,stationary strategies,Siachen conflict,C73,H56},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Working Paper},
  number       = {2018:14},
  pages        = {22},
  series       = {Working Papers},
  title        = {Seeking No War, Achieving No Peace: The Conflict over the Siachen Glacier},
  year         = {2018},
}