Longer and heavier road freight vehicles in Sweden : Effects on tonne- and vehicle-kilometres, CO2 and socio-economics
Pålsson, Henrik LU ; Winslott Hiselius, Lena LU ; Wandel, Sten LU ; Khan, Jamil LU
and Adell, Emeli
LU
(2017)
In International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management
47(7).
p.603-622
- Abstract
Purpose: The Swedish government is likely to implement longer and heavier road freight vehicles, so-called high-capacity vehicles (HCVs), in the near future. The purpose of this paper is to analysis the expected effects on the whole transport system regarding tonne-kilometres, vehicle-kilometres on road, CO2 and socio-economics with three possible implementation strategies (HCVs on all roads, a designated road network and a designated road network with a kilometre-based truck charge) and two vehicle types (74 t/25.25 m and 74 t/34 m). Design/methodology/approach: Calculations are based on two well-established scenarios for transport development in Sweden. Changes per tonne-kilometre are modelled for ten product groups with... (More)
Purpose: The Swedish government is likely to implement longer and heavier road freight vehicles, so-called high-capacity vehicles (HCVs), in the near future. The purpose of this paper is to analysis the expected effects on the whole transport system regarding tonne-kilometres, vehicle-kilometres on road, CO2 and socio-economics with three possible implementation strategies (HCVs on all roads, a designated road network and a designated road network with a kilometre-based truck charge) and two vehicle types (74 t/25.25 m and 74 t/34 m). Design/methodology/approach: Calculations are based on two well-established scenarios for transport development in Sweden. Changes per tonne-kilometre are modelled for ten product groups with considerations taken to their transport networks. Socio-economic effects are analysed using the net present value rating method over a 40-year period. Findings: The study shows the increase in demand for transport and the modal shift, from rail and sea to road, in terms of tonne-kilometres, vehicle-kilometres and CO2 emissions for three implementation strategies of HCVs in two scenarios. All implementation strategies show a positive social net-benefit with the introduction of HCVs. Research limitations/implications: The results reveal potential benefits to the implementation of HCVs. The results are limited by possible over/under-estimations of effects considered in the calculations, due to uncertainties and assumptions. Practical implications: The results highlight expected levels of modal shift and induced transport for different HCV implementation strategies and how they depend on transport and climate policies and the expected growth of tonne-kilometres. Originality/value: The calculations consider socio-economic effects, particularly from increased CO2 emissions due to modal shift and induced traffic, which is lacking in previous studies. To balance conflicting economic and environmental goals, the findings indicate that the implementation of HCVs could be accompanied by other policy measures. The findings are based on the Swedish context, but the model can be adapted to other countries or regions and to study other freight transport reforms.
(Less)
- author
- Pålsson, Henrik
LU
; Winslott Hiselius, Lena
LU
; Wandel, Sten
LU
; Khan, Jamil
LU
and Adell, Emeli
LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2017
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Climate, High-capacity vehicle, Longer and heavier vehicle, Modal shift, Road transport, Socio-economic costs, Tonne-kilometre
- in
- International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management
- volume
- 47
- issue
- 7
- pages
- 20 pages
- publisher
- Emerald Group Publishing Limited
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85023635349
- wos:000407286000003
- ISSN
- 0960-0035
- DOI
- 10.1108/IJPDLM-02-2017-0118
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 8b8c0602-a452-4366-96cd-bdfa45c61511
- date added to LUP
- 2017-07-27 14:18:21
- date last changed
- 2024-03-31 13:40:48
@article{8b8c0602-a452-4366-96cd-bdfa45c61511,
abstract = {{<p>Purpose: The Swedish government is likely to implement longer and heavier road freight vehicles, so-called high-capacity vehicles (HCVs), in the near future. The purpose of this paper is to analysis the expected effects on the whole transport system regarding tonne-kilometres, vehicle-kilometres on road, CO<sub>2</sub> and socio-economics with three possible implementation strategies (HCVs on all roads, a designated road network and a designated road network with a kilometre-based truck charge) and two vehicle types (74 t/25.25 m and 74 t/34 m). Design/methodology/approach: Calculations are based on two well-established scenarios for transport development in Sweden. Changes per tonne-kilometre are modelled for ten product groups with considerations taken to their transport networks. Socio-economic effects are analysed using the net present value rating method over a 40-year period. Findings: The study shows the increase in demand for transport and the modal shift, from rail and sea to road, in terms of tonne-kilometres, vehicle-kilometres and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions for three implementation strategies of HCVs in two scenarios. All implementation strategies show a positive social net-benefit with the introduction of HCVs. Research limitations/implications: The results reveal potential benefits to the implementation of HCVs. The results are limited by possible over/under-estimations of effects considered in the calculations, due to uncertainties and assumptions. Practical implications: The results highlight expected levels of modal shift and induced transport for different HCV implementation strategies and how they depend on transport and climate policies and the expected growth of tonne-kilometres. Originality/value: The calculations consider socio-economic effects, particularly from increased CO<sub>2</sub> emissions due to modal shift and induced traffic, which is lacking in previous studies. To balance conflicting economic and environmental goals, the findings indicate that the implementation of HCVs could be accompanied by other policy measures. The findings are based on the Swedish context, but the model can be adapted to other countries or regions and to study other freight transport reforms.</p>}},
author = {{Pålsson, Henrik and Winslott Hiselius, Lena and Wandel, Sten and Khan, Jamil and Adell, Emeli}},
issn = {{0960-0035}},
keywords = {{Climate; High-capacity vehicle; Longer and heavier vehicle; Modal shift; Road transport; Socio-economic costs; Tonne-kilometre}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{7}},
pages = {{603--622}},
publisher = {{Emerald Group Publishing Limited}},
series = {{International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management}},
title = {{Longer and heavier road freight vehicles in Sweden : Effects on tonne- and vehicle-kilometres, CO<sub>2</sub> and socio-economics}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJPDLM-02-2017-0118}},
doi = {{10.1108/IJPDLM-02-2017-0118}},
volume = {{47}},
year = {{2017}},
}