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2021 European Resuscitation Council/ European Society of Intensive Care Medicine Algorithm for Prognostication of Poor Neurological Outcome After Cardiac Arrest—Can Entry Criteria Be Broadened?

Arctaedius, Isabelle LU ; Levin, Helena LU ; Larsson, Melker ; Friberg, Hans LU ; Cronberg, Tobias LU ; Nielsen, Niklas LU ; Moseby-Knappe, Marion LU and Lybeck, Anna LU orcid (2024) In Critical Care Medicine 52(4). p.531-541
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To explore broadened entry criteria of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council/European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ERC/ ESICM) algorithm for neuroprognostication including patients with ongoing sedation and Glasgow Coma Scale-Motor score (GCS-M) scores 4–5. DESIGN: Retrospective multicenter observational study. SETTING: Four ICUs, Skane, Sweden. PATIENTS: Postcardiac arrest patients managed at targeted temperature 36°C, 2014–2018. Neurologic outcome was assessed after 2–6 months according to the Cerebral Performance Category scale. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In 794 included patients, median age was 69.5 years (interquartile range, 60.6–77.0 yr), 241 (30.4%) were female, 550 (69.3%) had an... (More)

OBJECTIVES: To explore broadened entry criteria of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council/European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ERC/ ESICM) algorithm for neuroprognostication including patients with ongoing sedation and Glasgow Coma Scale-Motor score (GCS-M) scores 4–5. DESIGN: Retrospective multicenter observational study. SETTING: Four ICUs, Skane, Sweden. PATIENTS: Postcardiac arrest patients managed at targeted temperature 36°C, 2014–2018. Neurologic outcome was assessed after 2–6 months according to the Cerebral Performance Category scale. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In 794 included patients, median age was 69.5 years (interquartile range, 60.6–77.0 yr), 241 (30.4%) were female, 550 (69.3%) had an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, and 314 (41.3%) had a shockable rhythm. Four hundred ninety-five patients were dead at follow-up, 330 of 495 died after a decision on withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies. At 72 hours after cardiac arrest 218 patients remained unconscious. The entry criteria of the original algorithm (GCS-M 1–3) was fulfilled by 163 patients and 115 patients with poor outcome were identified, with false positive rate (FPR) of 0% (95% CI, 0–79.4%) and sensitivity of 71.0% (95% CI, 63.6–77.4%). Inclusion of patients with ongoing sedation identified another 13 patients with poor outcome, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0–65.8%) and sensitivity of 69.6% (95% CI, 62.6–75.8%). Inclusion of all unconscious patients (GCS-M 1–5), regardless of sedation, identified one additional patient, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0–22.8) and sensitivity of 62.9% (95% CI, 56.1–69.2). The few patients with true negative prediction (patients with good outcome not fulfilling guideline criteria of a poor outcome) generated wide 95% CI for FPR. CONCLUSION: The 2021 ERC/ESICM algorithm for neuroprognostication predicted poor neurologic outcome with a FPR of 0%. Broadening inclusion criteria to include all unconscious patients regardless of ongoing sedation identified an additional small number of patients with poor outcome but did not affect the FPR. Results are limited by high rate of withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies and few patients with true negative prediction.

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author
; ; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
coma, guideline algorithm, heart arrest, neuroprognostication, prognostic accuracy, sedation
in
Critical Care Medicine
volume
52
issue
4
pages
11 pages
publisher
Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
external identifiers
  • pmid:38059722
  • scopus:85187955761
ISSN
0090-3493
DOI
10.1097/CCM.0000000000006113
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
2300cfdf-18a7-4c87-b456-26e8c057876f
date added to LUP
2024-04-03 13:55:25
date last changed
2024-04-24 02:54:26
@article{2300cfdf-18a7-4c87-b456-26e8c057876f,
  abstract     = {{<p>OBJECTIVES: To explore broadened entry criteria of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council/European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ERC/ ESICM) algorithm for neuroprognostication including patients with ongoing sedation and Glasgow Coma Scale-Motor score (GCS-M) scores 4–5. DESIGN: Retrospective multicenter observational study. SETTING: Four ICUs, Skane, Sweden. PATIENTS: Postcardiac arrest patients managed at targeted temperature 36°C, 2014–2018. Neurologic outcome was assessed after 2–6 months according to the Cerebral Performance Category scale. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In 794 included patients, median age was 69.5 years (interquartile range, 60.6–77.0 yr), 241 (30.4%) were female, 550 (69.3%) had an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, and 314 (41.3%) had a shockable rhythm. Four hundred ninety-five patients were dead at follow-up, 330 of 495 died after a decision on withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies. At 72 hours after cardiac arrest 218 patients remained unconscious. The entry criteria of the original algorithm (GCS-M 1–3) was fulfilled by 163 patients and 115 patients with poor outcome were identified, with false positive rate (FPR) of 0% (95% CI, 0–79.4%) and sensitivity of 71.0% (95% CI, 63.6–77.4%). Inclusion of patients with ongoing sedation identified another 13 patients with poor outcome, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0–65.8%) and sensitivity of 69.6% (95% CI, 62.6–75.8%). Inclusion of all unconscious patients (GCS-M 1–5), regardless of sedation, identified one additional patient, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0–22.8) and sensitivity of 62.9% (95% CI, 56.1–69.2). The few patients with true negative prediction (patients with good outcome not fulfilling guideline criteria of a poor outcome) generated wide 95% CI for FPR. CONCLUSION: The 2021 ERC/ESICM algorithm for neuroprognostication predicted poor neurologic outcome with a FPR of 0%. Broadening inclusion criteria to include all unconscious patients regardless of ongoing sedation identified an additional small number of patients with poor outcome but did not affect the FPR. Results are limited by high rate of withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies and few patients with true negative prediction.</p>}},
  author       = {{Arctaedius, Isabelle and Levin, Helena and Larsson, Melker and Friberg, Hans and Cronberg, Tobias and Nielsen, Niklas and Moseby-Knappe, Marion and Lybeck, Anna}},
  issn         = {{0090-3493}},
  keywords     = {{coma; guideline algorithm; heart arrest; neuroprognostication; prognostic accuracy; sedation}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{4}},
  pages        = {{531--541}},
  publisher    = {{Lippincott Williams & Wilkins}},
  series       = {{Critical Care Medicine}},
  title        = {{2021 European Resuscitation Council/ European Society of Intensive Care Medicine Algorithm for Prognostication of Poor Neurological Outcome After Cardiac Arrest—Can Entry Criteria Be Broadened?}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/CCM.0000000000006113}},
  doi          = {{10.1097/CCM.0000000000006113}},
  volume       = {{52}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}