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Intention-aware reachability prediction for dynamic collision avoidance in uncertain traffic

Zhou, Jian ; Zhou, Qidong ; Yu, Pian ; Carrizosa-Rendon, Alvaro ; Gao, Yulong ; Olofsson, Björn LU orcid and Frisk, Erik (2026) In Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 192. p.1-20
Abstract
Safe motion planning for autonomous driving systems in uncertain environments remains a significant challenge. The inherent traffic uncertainties caused by both the uncertain control and behavioral intentions of dynamic surrounding vehicles (SVs) are difficult to anticipate, hindering accurate motion prediction and complicating safe decision-making for the autonomous ego vehicle (EV). To mitigate these challenges, this paper proposes an efficient and safe motion-planning strategy that integrates intention awareness into the uncertainty prediction of SVs. The uncertainty prediction is performed analytically online through forward reachability analysis and is further improved by capturing both the control intentions and behavioral intentions... (More)
Safe motion planning for autonomous driving systems in uncertain environments remains a significant challenge. The inherent traffic uncertainties caused by both the uncertain control and behavioral intentions of dynamic surrounding vehicles (SVs) are difficult to anticipate, hindering accurate motion prediction and complicating safe decision-making for the autonomous ego vehicle (EV). To mitigate these challenges, this paper proposes an efficient and safe motion-planning strategy that integrates intention awareness into the uncertainty prediction of SVs. The uncertainty prediction is performed analytically online through forward reachability analysis and is further improved by capturing both the control intentions and behavioral intentions of SVs to support the motion-planning process. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated in various challenging scenarios, including planning tasks in encounter scenarios, multi-vehicle distributed planning problems, and a multi-vehicle case study based on a recorded real-world traffic dataset. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
volume
192
article number
105883
pages
20 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105044996778
ISSN
0968-090X
DOI
10.1016/j.trc.2026.105883
project
ELLIIT B14: Autonomous Force-Aware Swift Motion Control
RobotLab LTH
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
2509f1ec-6fb0-44b6-807f-1ce02aa1951b
date added to LUP
2026-08-04 11:23:30
date last changed
2026-09-15 05:36:56
@article{2509f1ec-6fb0-44b6-807f-1ce02aa1951b,
  abstract     = {{Safe motion planning for autonomous driving systems in uncertain environments remains a significant challenge. The inherent traffic uncertainties caused by both the uncertain control and behavioral intentions of dynamic surrounding vehicles (SVs) are difficult to anticipate, hindering accurate motion prediction and complicating safe decision-making for the autonomous ego vehicle (EV). To mitigate these challenges, this paper proposes an efficient and safe motion-planning strategy that integrates intention awareness into the uncertainty prediction of SVs. The uncertainty prediction is performed analytically online through forward reachability analysis and is further improved by capturing both the control intentions and behavioral intentions of SVs to support the motion-planning process. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated in various challenging scenarios, including planning tasks in encounter scenarios, multi-vehicle distributed planning problems, and a multi-vehicle case study based on a recorded real-world traffic dataset.}},
  author       = {{Zhou, Jian and Zhou, Qidong and Yu, Pian and Carrizosa-Rendon, Alvaro and Gao, Yulong and Olofsson, Björn and Frisk, Erik}},
  issn         = {{0968-090X}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{1--20}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies}},
  title        = {{Intention-aware reachability prediction for dynamic collision avoidance in uncertain traffic}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2026.105883}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.trc.2026.105883}},
  volume       = {{192}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}