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The climate-related risk profile of the energy-intensive and natural resource-based industries : Evidence from 2020–2023

Månberger, André LU ; Bauer, Fredric LU orcid and Nilsson, Lars J LU orcid (2025) In Cleaner Engineering and Technology 27.
Abstract
This study investigates the perception and understanding of climate-related risks among six energy-intensive and natural resource-based industry (ENRI) sectors using data from the CDP survey from 2020 to 2023. ENRI sectors, including fossil fuels; cement and concrete; chemicals; metallic smelting; refining; and forming; metallic mineral mining; and pulp and paper mills, are exposed to significant climate-related risks due to their capital-intensive activities and long investment cycles. Our analysis confirms that ENRI firms identify and report more climate-related risks with higher estimated impacts compared to other firms in some risk categories, indicating higher awareness. However, ENRI firms tend to prioritise risks with high impact... (More)
This study investigates the perception and understanding of climate-related risks among six energy-intensive and natural resource-based industry (ENRI) sectors using data from the CDP survey from 2020 to 2023. ENRI sectors, including fossil fuels; cement and concrete; chemicals; metallic smelting; refining; and forming; metallic mineral mining; and pulp and paper mills, are exposed to significant climate-related risks due to their capital-intensive activities and long investment cycles. Our analysis confirms that ENRI firms identify and report more climate-related risks with higher estimated impacts compared to other firms in some risk categories, indicating higher awareness. However, ENRI firms tend to prioritise risks with high impact and high likelihood, and likely underestimate the uncertainty and financial impacts of climate-related risks, such as stranded assets.

The study highlights the need for improved climate risk governance. Investors and voluntary disclosure initiatives should encourage firms to assess and report uncertain and high-impact risks, using explorative scenarios to overcome biases. Policymakers must enhance the credibility of climate policies by implementing comprehensive measures to support industrial transformation and stricter guidelines for climate-related risk disclosure.

Understanding ENRI firms' perspectives on risks is crucial for informing policy and investment decisions to ensure alignment with net-zero targets. Future research should explore factors influencing risk perception, mitigation strategies, and business opportunities, and examine firms' processes for identifying and managing climate-related risks. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Decarbonisation, Industrial transformation, Climate-related risk, Transition risk, Uncertainty
in
Cleaner Engineering and Technology
volume
27
article number
101026
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105008033364
ISSN
2666-7908
DOI
10.1016/j.clet.2025.101026
project
Financing industrial decarbonisation: Managing risks and uncertainties to promote green investments in energy intensive industry
Sparbanken Skåne Centre for sustainable enterprising - SSCEN
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
29501bf8-ed0e-4d91-8b64-fe0ba16aff8b
date added to LUP
2025-08-20 13:36:52
date last changed
2025-08-22 11:55:22
@article{29501bf8-ed0e-4d91-8b64-fe0ba16aff8b,
  abstract     = {{This study investigates the perception and understanding of climate-related risks among six energy-intensive and natural resource-based industry (ENRI) sectors using data from the CDP survey from 2020 to 2023. ENRI sectors, including fossil fuels; cement and concrete; chemicals; metallic smelting; refining; and forming; metallic mineral mining; and pulp and paper mills, are exposed to significant climate-related risks due to their capital-intensive activities and long investment cycles. Our analysis confirms that ENRI firms identify and report more climate-related risks with higher estimated impacts compared to other firms in some risk categories, indicating higher awareness. However, ENRI firms tend to prioritise risks with high impact and high likelihood, and likely underestimate the uncertainty and financial impacts of climate-related risks, such as stranded assets.<br/><br/>The study highlights the need for improved climate risk governance. Investors and voluntary disclosure initiatives should encourage firms to assess and report uncertain and high-impact risks, using explorative scenarios to overcome biases. Policymakers must enhance the credibility of climate policies by implementing comprehensive measures to support industrial transformation and stricter guidelines for climate-related risk disclosure.<br/><br/>Understanding ENRI firms' perspectives on risks is crucial for informing policy and investment decisions to ensure alignment with net-zero targets. Future research should explore factors influencing risk perception, mitigation strategies, and business opportunities, and examine firms' processes for identifying and managing climate-related risks.}},
  author       = {{Månberger, André and Bauer, Fredric and Nilsson, Lars J}},
  issn         = {{2666-7908}},
  keywords     = {{Decarbonisation; Industrial transformation; Climate-related risk; Transition risk; Uncertainty}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Cleaner Engineering and Technology}},
  title        = {{The climate-related risk profile of the energy-intensive and natural resource-based industries : Evidence from 2020–2023}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clet.2025.101026}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.clet.2025.101026}},
  volume       = {{27}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}