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Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Prediction

Westny, Theodor ; Oskarsson, Joel ; Olofsson, Björn LU and Frisk, Erik (2023) IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV 2023)
Abstract
Given their flexibility and encouraging performance, deep-learning models are becoming standard for motion prediction in autonomous driving. However, with great flexibility comes a lack of interpretability and possible violations of physical constraints. Accompanying these data-driven methods with differentially-constrained motion models to provide physically feasible trajectories is a promising future direction. The foundation for this work is a previously introduced graph-neural-network-based model, MTP-GO. The neural network learns to compute the inputs to an underlying motion model to provide physically feasible trajectories. This research investigates the performance of various motion models in combination with numerical solvers for... (More)
Given their flexibility and encouraging performance, deep-learning models are becoming standard for motion prediction in autonomous driving. However, with great flexibility comes a lack of interpretability and possible violations of physical constraints. Accompanying these data-driven methods with differentially-constrained motion models to provide physically feasible trajectories is a promising future direction. The foundation for this work is a previously introduced graph-neural-network-based model, MTP-GO. The neural network learns to compute the inputs to an underlying motion model to provide physically feasible trajectories. This research investigates the performance of various motion models in combination with numerical solvers for the prediction task. The study shows that simpler models, such as low-order integrator models, are preferred over more complex, e.g., kinematic models, to achieve accurate predictions. Further, the numerical solver can have a substantial impact on performance, advising against commonly used first-order methods like Euler forward. Instead, a second-order method like Heun’s can greatly improve predictions. (Less)
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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV 2023)
conference name
IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV 2023)
conference location
Anchorage, United States
conference dates
2023-06-04 - 2023-06-07
external identifiers
  • scopus:85167992188
DOI
10.1109/IV55152.2023.10186615
project
ELLIIT B14: Autonomous Force-Aware Swift Motion Control
RobotLab LTH
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
451bda08-cc52-4d6a-852d-c5ba40fdc562
alternative location
https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.05116
date added to LUP
2023-06-27 12:31:28
date last changed
2023-11-21 22:09:21
@inproceedings{451bda08-cc52-4d6a-852d-c5ba40fdc562,
  abstract     = {{Given their flexibility and encouraging performance, deep-learning models are becoming standard for motion prediction in autonomous driving. However, with great flexibility comes a lack of interpretability and possible violations of physical constraints. Accompanying these data-driven methods with differentially-constrained motion models to provide physically feasible trajectories is a promising future direction. The foundation for this work is a previously introduced graph-neural-network-based model, MTP-GO. The neural network learns to compute the inputs to an underlying motion model to provide physically feasible trajectories. This research investigates the performance of various motion models in combination with numerical solvers for the prediction task. The study shows that simpler models, such as low-order integrator models, are preferred over more complex, e.g., kinematic models, to achieve accurate predictions. Further, the numerical solver can have a substantial impact on performance, advising against commonly used first-order methods like Euler forward. Instead, a second-order method like Heun’s can greatly improve predictions.}},
  author       = {{Westny, Theodor and Oskarsson, Joel and Olofsson, Björn and Frisk, Erik}},
  booktitle    = {{IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV 2023)}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  title        = {{Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Prediction}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/IV55152.2023.10186615}},
  doi          = {{10.1109/IV55152.2023.10186615}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}