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Robust Predictive Motion Planning by Learning Obstacle Uncertainty

Zhou, Jian ; Gao, Yulong ; Johansson, Ola ; Olofsson, Björn LU and Frisk, Erik (2025) In IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology
Abstract

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst case characterization gives a conservative uncertainty prediction and may result in infeasible motion planning for the ego robotic system. In this article, an efficient, robust, and safe motion-planning algorithm is developed by learning the obstacle uncertainties online. More specifically, the unknown yet intended control set of obstacles is efficiently computed by solving a linear programming (LP) problem. The learned control set is used to compute forward reachable sets (FRSs) of obstacles that are less... (More)

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst case characterization gives a conservative uncertainty prediction and may result in infeasible motion planning for the ego robotic system. In this article, an efficient, robust, and safe motion-planning algorithm is developed by learning the obstacle uncertainties online. More specifically, the unknown yet intended control set of obstacles is efficiently computed by solving a linear programming (LP) problem. The learned control set is used to compute forward reachable sets (FRSs) of obstacles that are less conservative than the worst case prediction. Based on the forward prediction, a robust model predictive controller is designed to compute a safe reference trajectory for the ego robotic system that remains outside the reachable sets of obstacles over the prediction horizon. The method is applied to a car-like mobile robot in both simulations and hardware experiments to demonstrate its effectiveness.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
Predictive control, robust motion planning, safe autonomy, uncertainty quantification
in
IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology
pages
15 pages
publisher
IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85217523432
ISSN
1063-6536
DOI
10.1109/TCST.2025.3533378
project
ELLIIT B14: Autonomous Force-Aware Swift Motion Control
RobotLab LTH
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 1993-2012 IEEE.
id
487e6d13-28ea-4b5d-9c4a-c14b97cf42ce
alternative location
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06222
date added to LUP
2025-04-08 17:11:02
date last changed
2025-04-09 10:10:36
@article{487e6d13-28ea-4b5d-9c4a-c14b97cf42ce,
  abstract     = {{<p>Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst case characterization gives a conservative uncertainty prediction and may result in infeasible motion planning for the ego robotic system. In this article, an efficient, robust, and safe motion-planning algorithm is developed by learning the obstacle uncertainties online. More specifically, the unknown yet intended control set of obstacles is efficiently computed by solving a linear programming (LP) problem. The learned control set is used to compute forward reachable sets (FRSs) of obstacles that are less conservative than the worst case prediction. Based on the forward prediction, a robust model predictive controller is designed to compute a safe reference trajectory for the ego robotic system that remains outside the reachable sets of obstacles over the prediction horizon. The method is applied to a car-like mobile robot in both simulations and hardware experiments to demonstrate its effectiveness.</p>}},
  author       = {{Zhou, Jian and Gao, Yulong and Johansson, Ola and Olofsson, Björn and Frisk, Erik}},
  issn         = {{1063-6536}},
  keywords     = {{Predictive control; robust motion planning; safe autonomy; uncertainty quantification}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.}},
  series       = {{IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology}},
  title        = {{Robust Predictive Motion Planning by Learning Obstacle Uncertainty}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TCST.2025.3533378}},
  doi          = {{10.1109/TCST.2025.3533378}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}